Board Thread:General Discussion/@comment-35284508-20181120174212/@comment-35284508-20190222202725

Thanks Jp for your observations. I can say that what you observed can be entirely true but I cant get behind the idea that these observations can be used to predict someone else's experience or your own experience tomorrow. Thinking that a programmer made an error is especially hard to test because it only lasts for one release. The next time they update could be because they fixed the problem, so only observations during one update matter. Do any of us play a room, under the same conditions 5000 times (to test the question to within 10% of a correct result) before the next update, or if we are talking about visiting drop rates - give away 5000 collections to determine (again within 10%) how much of the collections you get back. You dont talk in terms of something we can test when you say things like 'I gifted xxxx one time and got 3 of them back visiting. Life is full of random success if you look for them and random failures also. If you are happy playing the idea that you have it figured out, fine. But realize that others really shouldn't bet on your predictions... unless you have done the trials and math to back it up.