Board Thread:General Discussion/@comment-40112086-20191111190837/@comment-44357385-20191112200259

Opal, You have a total of 1459 drops for 29,000 trials. That gives a drop rate of 5.03%. The same as what I found.

The drop rate does not vary, but you need a large enough data sample to measure it. The daily outcomes vary based on chance because they are such small trials, but aggregated over a month, as you have done, the true rate emerges.